Working Papers

Measuring Shortages Since 1900
by Dario Caldara, Matteo Iacoviello, and David Yu (May 2025)
Related: website (with regularly updated data); Federal Reserve IFDP; CEPR discussion paper

Other Work

Trade-offs of Higher U.S. Tariffs: GDP, Revenues, and the Trade Deficit
by Sharon Jeon, Ricardo Reyes-Heroles, Abhi Uppal, Eva Van Leemput, and David Yu (July 2025)

Assessing the Extent of Trade Fragmentation
by Justin Pierce and David Yu (November 2023)
Coverage: centralbanking.com

Evaluating Head Start: The Marginal Value of Public Funds
by David Yu (March 2022)